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Monty Hall Problem:     more books (16)

The Monty Hall Problem: The Remarkable Story of Math's Most Contentious Brain Teaser by Jason Rosenhouse, 2009-06-04 The Monty Hall Problem & Other Puzzles (Mastermind Collection) by Ivan Moscovich, 2004-11-01 The Monty Hall Problem: Beyond Closed Doors by rob deaves, 2007-01-13 The Monty Hall Problem and Other Puzzles (Mastermind) by Ivan Moscovich, 2005-02-11 Decision Theory Paradoxes: Monty Hall Problem, St. Petersburg Paradox, Two Envelopes Problem, Parrondo's Paradox, Three Prisoners Problem Microeconomics: Monty Hall Problem THE MONTY HALL PROBLEM AND OTHER PUZZLES (MASTERMIND COLLECTION) by IVAN MOSCOVICH, 2005-01-01 Monty Hall Problem: Monty Hall Problem. Let's Make a Deal, Monty Hall, Three Prisoners problem, Bertrand's box paradox, Quantum game theory, Deal or No Deal, Bayesian probability Ivan Moscovich's Mastermind Collection Four Book Set: Hinged Square, Monty Hall Problem, Leonardo's Mirror, The Shoelace Problem & Other Puzzles [4 Book Set] by Ivan Moscovich, 2004 Mathematical Problems: Monty Hall Problem Let's Make a Deal: Monty Hall Problem, Wayne Brady, Billy Bush, Big Deal, Carol Merrill, Bob Hilton, Trato Hecho, Jonathan Mangum Probability Theory Paradoxes: Simpson's Paradox, Birthday Problem, Monty Hall Problem, St. Petersburg Paradox, Boy or Girl Paradox The Monty Hall Problem byRosenhouse by Rosenhouse, 2009 Bayes' Theorem: Bayes' theorem, Bayesian inference, Monty Hall problem,Bayesian network, Bayesian spam filtering, Conjugate prior,Deism, Empirical ... method, Prosecutor's fallacy, Ravenparadox

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61. Idea For A Simple Program [Archive] - Ubuntu Forums
    Simulate the Monty Hall problem (there s a neat little subtlety in this one ;)) http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem Using a Monty Carlo method,  
    http://ubuntuforums.org/archive/index.php/t-433377.html
    
    Extractions: Ubuntu Forums The Ubuntu Forum Community Other Community Discussions Programming Talk ... PDA View Full Version : idea for a simple program May 4th, 2007, 10:34 PM well everyone says the only way to learn programming is to write some programs, so this thread is for giving ideas for simple programs that could be written by some with only basic knowledge could write. raja May 4th, 2007, 11:24 PM I guess it is difficult for anyone to suggest something unless we know how much programming you know now, what language you are learning (or intend to learn, etc). May 4th, 2007, 11:39 PM I was hoping for an pretty much any idea that could be done as a command line program in multiple languages, I personally mostly know c++. seamless May 4th, 2007, 11:46 PM A good project is to write your own versions of command like cp, mv, ls and so on. Also if you have a lot of pictures or music write something that will give you the meta info out of them and or help you to organize them. You could also try your hand at some client server programming. An echo server and client isn't all that hard. If you're just looking to learn then just look at what has already been done and make your own version of it. slavik May 5th, 2007, 12:35 AM

62. Discover From Your Favorite Topic Or Web Page: En.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advertising
    Discover Monty Hall problem Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem Bayes.27_theorem (wikipedia algorithms)  
    http://discover.megite.com/discover/:en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advertising_network

63. Discover From Your Favorite Topic Or Web Page Www.bavetta.com
    Discover Monty Hall problem Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem (statistics fun mathematics wikipedia)  
    http://li class=dispurl>www.megite.com/discover/:www_bavetta_com/mohawk/mohawk.h

64. RUU #16: Example Of Repeatable Independent Experiments - AOL Video
    http//delicategeniusblog.com/?page_id=134 http//www.userpages. de/monty_hall_problem/ Monty Hall batch simulator  
    http://video.aol.com/video-detail/ruu-16-example-of-repeatable-independent-exper
    
    Extractions: var sitedomain="channel.aol.com";var siteState="http%3a%2f%2fvideo%2eaol%2ecom%2fvideo%2ddetail%2fruu%2d16%2dexample%2dof%2drepeatable%2dindependent%2dexperiments%2f3049524842"; var pagehostUrl="http://video.aol.com";var vid_playerURL="http://us.video.aol.com";var MTeens=1; Search Hot Searches: Spice Girls Hillary Clinton 'American Idol' Natalie Portman ... See More query_value=0;vid_location="http://video.aol.com";vid_pageUrl=""+window.location;vid_pmms=0; Similar Videos RUU #15a: Intro to repeatable independent experiments RUU #22: Two source hypothesis testing RUU #19: Inference on the free binomial model RUU #17: The binomial distribution + reliability of evidence To share this media with a friend, you must have AIM installed.Click the "download AIM" button to install AIM. If you already have AIM, click the "Send Instant Message" Download AIM Send an Instant Message Share this video with a friend.

65. Www.irishastronomy.org :: View Topic - Three Doors With One Prize
    This is also known as the Monty Hall problem. Here is the wikipedia page for it. http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem  
    http://www.irishastronomy.org/boards/viewtopic.php?t=7968&sid=0921cab1d3d0e5117b

66. Jyte - 3 Doors. One Has A Prize Behind, The Host Knows Which, You
    It is quite interesting also that in the talk page http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talkmonty_hall_problem the first line says  
    http://jyte.com/cl/3-doors.-one-has-a-prize-behind-the-host-knows-which-you-dont

67. Scott Hanselman's Computer Zen - Random Friday Lowercase-A Arguments
    As for 1b Sounds kind of like the a@http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem@ Monty Hall problem to me. The Coding Hillbilly  
    http://www.hanselman.com/blog/RandomFridayLowercaseAArguments.aspx
    
    Extractions: var allowedHtmlTags = ['a', 'b', 'blockquote', 'em', 'i', 'pre', 'strike', 'strong', 'sub', 'super', 'u']; Subscribe About Me Weekly Podcast iTunes ... Programming Life and the Zen of Computers Main Posted in Musings My wife and I tend to lowercase-a argue about random stuff. We have a good time, though, it's part of our collective charm. We have " gentleman's bets ." There was a good one yesterday while we were watching TV..."which of those chicks is a dude." Seriously, don't ever test my 'trannydar', you'll always lose. Anyway, here's two recent arguments questions: A relative was reviewing the information of correlation that he'd learnt some time ago in statistics. It is possible for sets of data to be perfectly correlated, with a linear correlation co-efficient of 1, although this is very rare. Sets of data can also be correlated in a non-linear fashion such as in the form of a binomial or other polynomial function. He was looking at his energy bills over the past year in comparison with the average monthly temperatures over the same period, and have come up with the following data (currency values converted to US dollars). What sort of relationship can you deduce, if any, between the bill and the temperatures (in Fahrenheit)? Can we say there is any correlation between the data? AverageBill/$,150,140,137,118,110,90,84,82,96,98,120,143

68. Mind Hacks: Cognitive Dissonance Reduction
    Wouldn t it be nice if you could completely reduce the explanation to Bayesian math? ;). http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem  
    http://www.mindhacks.com/blog/2007/12/cognitive_dissonance.html
    
    Extractions: Main Following on from my earlier post about the way psychologists look at the world , let me tell you a story which I think illustrates very well the tendency academic psychologists have for reductionism. It's a story about a recent paper on the phenomenon of cognitive dissonance, and about a discussion of that paper by a group of psychologists that I was lucky enough to be part of. Cognitive Dissonance is a term which describes an uncomfortable feeling we experience when our actions and beliefs are contradictory. For example, we might believe that we are environmentally conscious and responsible citizen, but might take the action of flying to Spain for the weekend. Our beliefs about ourselves seem to be in contradiction with our actions. Leon Festinger, who proposed dissonance theory, suggested that in situations like this we are motivated to reduce dissonance by adjusting our beliefs to be in line with our actions. Obviously after-the-event it is a little too late to adjust our actions, so our beliefs are the only remaining point of movement. In the flying to Spain example you might be motivated by cognitive dissonance to change what you believe about flying: maybe you come to believe that flying isn't actually that bad for the environment, or that focussing on personal choices isn't the best way to understand environmental problems, or you could even go all the way and decide that you're not an environmentally responsible person.

69. Overcoming Bias: Bad Balance Bias
    As an aside, are you familiar with this problem? http//en.wikipedia. org/wiki/monty_hall_problem. I am, yes. It managed to keep me quite puzzled for a  
    http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/07/bad-balance-bia.html
    
    Extractions: Main Balance in life is good. You need to work, relax, have fun, try new things, continue old things, have sex, do sport, play games, sleep. The balanced lifestyle is the ideal, and we all know this. Problems start when we extend this idea of balance beyond our personal lives. We deal with political and charitable choices as if balance was a virtue. It’s bad enough for governments – they are expected to fund highways, trains, buses and subways, to subsidise clean energy, petrol exploration and energy efficiency, pay money for the opera, for theatre, for sport, for museums and for films. At least in the government’s case the sums involved are so huge that they change the marginal value of these various activities, making this balance obsession possibly acceptable. But personal charity is the worst. People will give money to combat hunger in Africa, to help the victims of the Tsunami, to educate the under-privileged, to combat global warming and malaria. Since most donations are small, there must be one charity whose marginal value is the highest; rationality implies we should give all our cash to that one. Not only is this not the case, but people seem to prefer to spread their donations around. “You can’t just do one thing” is the reaction I get when questioning this. Yes you can, for charitable giving, and you should.

70. TerritorioScuola Wikipedia English - Monty_Hall_problem
    Help 1) Choose the linguistic area flag; 2) Type only one word for each; 3) If you are searching for an exact phrase, use _ in the spaces,  
    http://www.territorioscuola.com/wikipedia/en.wikipedia.php?title=Monty_Hall_prob

71. ConservativeHome's Platform: Graeme Archer: Untesting Times
    http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem. Posted by Graeme Archer December 11, 2006 at 1918. I have been meandering on the fringe of politics a  
    http://conservativehome.blogs.com/platform/2006/12/graeme_archer_u.html
    
    Extractions: Main Graeme Archer, Hackney activist and ConservativeHome regular, has his own blog Look, I’m not about to go off on one about “dumbing down” in general, or launch a tirade about the pitfalls of popular culture. I’m not an opera buff and I’ve never been the ballet. Though we did go and see Don Giovanni a few months ago. (If you ask me, three hours is a long time to sit and wait for the bit where the Devil appears and yells “Don GioVANNi” towards the end, quite the best bit.) But there’s something very wrong happening in the world of light entertainment, something which I think is getting close to abuse. Maybe it’s the statistician in me (what a coy way of putting it, why is it so hard just to come out with? My name is Graeme Archer and I AM a STATISTICIAN. There). There’s a quiz show on in the early evenings on Channel Five called “The Grid” which appals me; and “Deal or No Deal” isn’t just an irritating vehicle to herald the Return of the Edmunds, it’s symptomatic of something rotten, a festering nexus at the heart of our culture, where poverty of education finds its manifestation through trick-playing on the public. The set up of The Grid is a high-tech studio where “players” stand in front of a large cube, each face of which contains (the same) grid of I think 25 squares i.e. 5 rows and 5 columns. The three-dimensional aspect of this set up is quite irrelevant to what occurs on the programme, part and parcel of the con-trick which then takes place, a con-trick which can only happen because the participants are either unaware of what they’re doing, or are willing to suspend their belief in anything rational for the sake of appearing on television.

72. CodeProject: The Monty Hall Problem - C# Solution. Free Source Code And Programm
    C chooses 3, M chooses 2. If !(C switches to 1) then lose The accepted solution is well documented at http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem.  
    http://www.codeproject.com/KB/cs/montyhall.aspx
    
    Extractions: var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); 4,975,536 members and growing! (14,129 online) Email Password Remember me? Lost your password? Home All Topics MFC/C++ C# ... General Intermediate By Troy Magennis Note: This is an unedited reader contribution document.write(unescape("%3ca%20href%3d%22http%3a%2f%2fwww.codeproject.com%2fRedir.aspx%3fadid%3d3487%26way%3dban%22%20target%3d%22_blank%22%20rel%3d%22nofollow%22%3e%3cimg%20src%3d%22http%3a%2f%2fwww.codeproject.com%2fscript%2fAnn%2fServeImg.aspx%3fFile%3d%252fscript%252fadmentor%252fimages%252fcp_daily_150x80.gif%26C%3dFalse%26id%3d3487%22%20alt%3d%22%22%20border%3d%220%22%20width%3d%22150%22%20height%3d%2280%22%3e%3c%2fa%3e")); Announcements Monthly Competition

73. Life Stream: List All Pages
    Translate this page Monty Hall Problem http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem def createRandomDoors theRightDoor, doors = rand(3), 0.upto(2) { i doorsi  
    http://sun.wikidot.com/system:list-all-pages
    
    Extractions: @import url(/commonmodules/css/list/WikiPagesModule.css); @import url(/commonmodules/css/monetize/textlinkads/MonetizeTextLinkAdsModule.css); @import url(http://www.wikidot.com/commontheme/base/css/style.css?0); @import url(http://www.wikidot.com/commontheme/flannel-ocean/css/style.css?0); create account or login List All Pages Benchmark Bindmark A comparison of the existing open-source and commercial (when available for free evaluation download) libraries for binding XML data to Java classes.... China Comma Splices Contact Please change this page according to your needs Csharp Tip http://www.codeproject.com/csharp/GlobalSystemHook.asp * DVD Eclipse http://eclipse.org UTF-8 설정 eclipse 실행시 옵션 주기 : eclipse.exe -vmargs -Dfile.encoding=utf-8 ver 3.2.1... Educating Rita 리타 길들이기 Educating Rita 윌리·러셸 작 박준용 역 [페이지] F02 등장 인물 프랭크 리타 얘 기는 북부 잉글랜드의 어느 대학교 2층 교수실에서...

74. Digg - Creatively Speaking: Monty Hall ( W / VIDEOS )
    Oh my god my mind is blown by this http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem View 4 replies to this comment (most popular has 4 diggs)  
    http://digg.com/television/Creatively_Speaking_Monty_Hall_W_VIDEOS
    
    Extractions: Learn more about Digg by taking the tour Most people know Monty Hall from his brilliant game show, Let ’s Make a Deal. Others know him because of the famous math puzzle/paradox known as The Monty Hall Problem (definitely worth a click over and reading about if you’re a math geek). But you might also know Monty as the emcee of shows like Beat the Clock and Split Second.

75. Bram Cohen's Journal - Man Vs. Machine Poker
    I remember reading about the Monty Hall Problem (http//en.wikipedia. org/wiki/monty_hall_problem), and I always think about it every time my parents watch  
    http://bramcohen.livejournal.com/43525.html
    
    Extractions: From commentary on the match, it's clear that at least on some days the computer was playing a straight-up nash equilibrium approximation, which means that it was assuming a perfect opponent and only taking advantage of flat-out opponent errors. With just a little bit of intelligence on opponent modeling, it would be vastly better. My prediction: next match, the humans are toast. Then the interesting game will move from limit to pot limit, where top humans will still have a big advantage for a while. Link Leave a comment Fri, Sep. 14th, 2007 02:13 pm (UTC) agthorr I don't think it's possible to have statistically significant results after only 4,000 hands unless one of the players is REALLY bad. The 95% confidence interval for a typical good player after 4,000 hands is in the vicinity of +/- 0.05 BB/hand and I would expect the better player in a man vs machine match-up to be ahead by maybe 0.02 BB/hand.

76. Two Ball Weighing Puzzles « Codemate
    More on this here http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem. Naveen. Posted January 19, 2008 at 407 pm Permalink  
    http://codemate.wordpress.com/2007/12/15/two-ball-weighing-puzzles/
    
    Extractions: var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); Being friends with the code Skip navigation Sorting 101 Probably, you already know the first one. It sounds like this: You have eight balls all of the same size. Seven of them weigh the same, and one of them weighs slightly more. How can you find the ball that is heavier by using a balance and only two weighings? Now you have twelve balls, and one of them is either heavier or lighter than others. Your task is to design a strategy to determine which is the odd ball and whether it is heavier or lighter than the others in as few uses of the balance as possible. Reasoning the same way as before, we can conclude that in this case you need only one more weighing. See: now we have 24 possible states of the world (12 balls in question and odd ball can be heavier or lighter). Thus, two weighings are obviously not enough. But three weighings give us 3 * 3 * 3 = 27 conceivable outcomes. Now try to find the optimal strategy! This entry was written by Mikhail Naganov and posted on December 15, 2007 at 9:05 pm

77. IRC Logs Of #maemo
    pupnik_, http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem was just quiet in maemo, 0120. szucsati, has any1 tried any non official car mount for n800?  
    http://mg.pov.lt/maemo-irclog/#maemo.2007-10-31.log.html

78. Stumbling And Mumbling: Risk Aversion On Deal Or No Deal
    http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem. Posted by rightwingprof January 10, 2007 at 0823 PM. This is giving me a headache.  
    http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2007/01/risk_aver

79. » Game Theory – Monty Hall Paradox » Cornell Info 204 - Networks
    application of probability theory which you can read about at http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem Bayes.27_theorem if you are interested.  
    http://expertvoices.nsdl.org/cornell-info204/2008/02/22/game-theory-–-monty
    
    Extractions: NSDL.org Expert Voices Cornell Info 204 - Networks Larger Text ... Game Theory is in the HOUSE! Next Post: Friday, February 22nd, 2008 10:08 pm Written by: MC Hammer's Cardboard Box The Monty Hall paradox is a famous problem in the field of game theory and probability for which the best strategy of the player is counter intuitive. The problem statement is as follows: You are on a game show and in front of you are three doors. You know that there are goats behind two of the doors and there is a new car behind the third door (the assumption is that you would prefer the car over a goat). You are asked to pick a door and you will win whatever is behind it. After you pick your door, the host, who knows how the prizes are positioned, will always open one of the doors that you did not pick to reveal one of the goats. He then offers you a choice to either keep your current door or to switch to the remaining door that is unopened. What do you do? If this is your first time hearing this problem, you might convince yourself that it does not matter whether a switch is made. Clearly, there is 1/3 probability that I pick the door with the car behind it. After the host opens a door with a goat behind it, there are only two doors left unopened. Since we have no further information about the two unopened doors, it follows that the probability of the door I picked having a car behind it has been conditioned to 1/2. Thus it would not make a difference if I switched doors.

80. Martin’s O&O Blog » Blog Archive » Why Statistics Is Counter-intuitive
    Explanation at http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/monty_hall_problem. * The scoping problem. An US child care organisation successfully went to court to force  
    http://www.martinlos.com/?p=24

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